[Closed] NL100 SH set

wp. yeah u can raise slightly bigger and bet bit bigger turn, but he could also fold a bit more so its not that critical.

I don't mind your c/r-size on the flop too much because you only need to protect against FDs.
There are a maximum of about 10 combinations of FDs in his range, but a lot of weaker hands like QTs+, KK, AA.

On the turn I'd definitely bet/call (see equity below), imo the betsizing is fine, there will be ~$100 in the pot on the river and you'll have ~$50 left.
You don't want to see a call and a fourth club on the river, and assuming he has a club this will happen 9/45 or 20% of the time, but he's also shoving himself sometimes if he has an (over)pair+highFD.

So nh imo.

(see equity below)

Yes, please?

I think he meant

so equity be low

♦

Originally posted by Tim64

(see equity below)

Yes, please?

Uh, I stoved but forgot to add it to the post ♦

Board: Qc 2c 9c 6h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.216% 32.22% 00.00% 23263410 0.00 { 6d6s }
Hand 1: 67.785% 67.79% 00.00% 48948719 0.00 { QQ, 22, AcKc, AcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, KcJc, JcTc }

This is a worst case range (only sets and 12 combos of nutflushes) and we still have 32% - sometimes he even shows up with KK+ or AQ.