Hi,
relatively long time since last update.
Not playing much because of few reasons - do not want to loose, do not want to play NL10 because I think its more worth to learn what I need and continue at NL20 as much as I can.
And I was thinking about BB defence a lot, tried to find which combinations I xc, which combinations I xr when vs BTN minraise and cbet.
First tried with pokerstrategy equilab, but one thing is missing - to have different colors for group - for example calls and raises.
Then tried to remember how to use combonator, and finally I got used to it, so it was easier.
Today finished this on 884fd board. Many players do not agree about having raising range, but on the other hand I have learned that I need to charge draws more. Maybe I understood wrong, because I learned when I do cbets (probably IP) that I need to bet thin - no need to give free cards. So I thought same could be OOP with trips. When it has at least 70% equity, why not charge the draws.
Of course would need to analise database more and see how often they call xr on that board. But in Alleen thread - one good player said to xr even on dry boards which do not have draws. So that was another argument for raising on this board. In case they fold too much - we can always add more bluffs.
And also I have no idea how often do they fold on turn and river after call flop xr. I believe there is also fold equity on turn, because I believe on flop they call wide.
And they might call draws on turn, and when they bust - they can easily fold to small bet them. And vs big bet hand like TT probably would not be very happy about calling vs xr bet bet.
Today played 1 hour, 2 tables NL10 and 1 NL20. Could play more time, but no motivation
And I even ran good today

And since last post:

And when I was lazy to play this evening, I was motivated to read magazine about investing.
Plus this weak had not much time for poker also. Monday - free coaching about forex live. Was very interesting. One lithuanina forex pro was talking. If I would not know what to do, I would give a try to forex very likely.
One interesting thing about it is that all players play at same limit if we compare to poker. So once you learn with little money, you beat high stakes also. Only what is different from low bankroll to high bankroll is that you feel its big money and you might be scared to take risks.
But as we learned in poker - if you use safe bankroll management, you should not be scared.
He said with applying only technical analisis, which is relatively easy - you can make 15% - 30 % profit (per year probably). I am not sure how he calculates it also.
Lets say I have 1000 eur roll. Do I make then 300 eur? Ok. but if I have 10000 roll, but Iam scared to invest big sums, and so I invest same sums as I would with 1000 rool. Then I make same 300. Now I make only 3 %.
Or I calculate wrong? Maybe I have to count from the real invested money, and not what is in bankroll. Lets say when we invest into house for rent. We count profit from the sum which costed to buy house and house repairs. Not all our bankroll which we buy houses from.
But then in forex I believe the sum is not constant. If you know its very high probability that you win, you invest bigger sum. When you feel its risky, but high rewarding, you invest smaller sum but it might make huge profit.
So then maybe some average is counted?
And also he said that if you apply fundamental analisis with technical analisis, then you make more. So it means more than 30 %. He did not tell how much exactly.
He said to learn to trade with play money first. Which is again not as in poker. Becuase in poker you face weak oponents with play money, while in forex - you practically face same, because the sums you are trading probably do not influence market price practically.
He said he every day watches, reads economic news and tries to see logic between price and new. He said to practice doing it everyday. Ask - why the price changed - on which events it depended on.
Actually economic news are not the most interesting thing to read all day, but not the terrible thing to do also. PLus as he said you can win even with technical analisis, so economic news is as a bonus.
Why I am not so enthuasiastic about this is that I believe to learn some basics might be easy as with poker. But to make some serious money I am not sure if I will do. And in forex also like 10 % or so win.
And better is to not do too many things, because there is not so much time to learn everything. Even in forex coaches say that only learn things about few currency pairs, because it is not possible to learn all pairs well.
Why I am intrested in those - maybe there is some easy way to invest long term, so that I would not need to read economy news everyday. Like they said GBP, sweden currencies, are having high probablilties to rise longterm, so maybe I could invest like into those and wait 2-3 years. But first I would like to try with play money.
One thought just came that what sucks about currencies. Lets say I invest long term into GBP, and it rises against euro. But if the governments print both euro and GBP, ok I win some, but in the end what both currencies can by is less.
Like if you invest into something real, not paper, that will have its value no matter how much money will be printed. LIke flat. You buy flat, the more money they print, the more money flat costs. So it does not depend on how much they print.
Only that flat you need to repair. but if you rent it and it goes good, then rent should cover the repair and make some profit.
Ok, need to sleep, wanted to write quick post, but took probably 40 minutes ♦
oh and quickly why other days this week was no poker - tuesday - party, thursday - free live coahcing about rent busines, thursdau - felt exausted after job, friday - drink with friends, saturday - date (at evening got back to poker analising finally).
So many interesting things in life , but not enough time.