Making it to the final table in MTTs

I am starting a new exercise. I plan to play a 30 players Deepstack Freeze-Out TN in the Casino within 2 weeks.

In ICMizer I will work with the 27 players SNG and 5 paid places.
Price distribution is
37%
27%
18%
10%
8%

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
16 players left on 2 tables
Average stack is 25313 = 12.5bb
Chips in play 405000 = 202.5bb

Blinds 1000/2000/250 ante

I am LoJack with 12bb

OPEN-SHOVE NASH 19%
33+
All suited Aces
ATo+
K9s+
KTo+
Q9s+
QJo
J9s+
T9s

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 9,8%
66+
ATs+
AJo+
All BrBrs

Stackdistribution
UTG 7.5bb
MP 12.5bb
HERO LoJack 12bb
HiJack 12.5bb
CO 25bb
BTN 12.5bb
SB 12.5bb
BB 12.5bb

From today on I will only mention the CALCULATE +0.10%EV, as this will be the range that I will use in the live TN.

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
16 players left on 2 tables
Average stack is 25313 = 12.5bb
Chips in play 405000 = 202.5bb

Blinds 1000/2000/250 ante

I am BTN with 12bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 12.5bb

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 30,8%
Alle pocketpairs
All Aces
Suited Kings with 7 kicker +
KTo+
Suited Queens, Jacks and Tens with 8 kicker +
QTo+
JTo
T9o
98s
87s

Stackdistribution
UTG 7.5bb
MP 12.5bb
LoJack 12.5bb
HiJack 12.5bb
CO 25bb
HERO BTN 12bb
SB 12.5bb
BB 12.5bb

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
16 players left on 2 tables
Average stack is 25313 = 12.5bb
Chips in play 405000 = 202.5bb

Blinds 1000/2000/250 ante

I am BTN with 12bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 12.5bb

An average stack on LoJack open-raises to 2.25bb

NASH SHOVE 13.8%
55+
A7s+
A8o+
KTs+
KQo

NASH shoves much wider than I thought.
Nash puts the blind on a call-percentage of 6%: 88+, ABr.
And he puts LoJack on a call-percentage of 8%: 77+, ABr.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 12.8%
22+
A8s+
AJo+
All suited BrBr
KQo
T9s

The range is much wider than I thought. I had in my mind that I should only push JJ+ after an openraise when I still have 12bb.
So probably because of foldequity you can shove wider.

Stackdistribution
UTG 7.5bb
MP 12.5bb
LoJack 12.5bb
HiJack 12.5bb
CO 25bb
HERO BTN 12bb
SB 12.5bb
BB 12.5bb

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
16 players left on 2 tables
Average stack is 25313 = 12.5bb
Chips in play 405000 = 202.5bb

Blinds 1000/2000/250 ante

I am BTN with 12bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 12.5bb

An average stack on LoJack open-shoves with his 12.5bb
ICMizer gives LoJack 20% openshove range that consists of all pocketpairs, all suited aces, Br9s+, BrTo+.

NASH SHOVE 7.5%
77+
ATs+
AJo+

Nash puts the SB on a call-percentage of 2.6%: TT+, AKs.
Nash puts the BB on a call-percentage of 3.5%: TT+, AK.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 6.8%
88+
AJ+

Conclusion: if you still have 12bb on BTN and some-one openshoves, only shove with a tight range of good pocketpairs and the best Aces.
There is no need to risk your life with mediocre pairs or broadway-hands if you still have 12bb.

Stackdistribution
UTG 7.5bb
MP 12.5bb
LoJack 12.5bb
HiJack 12.5bb
CO 25bb
HERO BTN 12bb
SB 12.5bb
BB 12.5bb

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Now I am going to make some calculations with only 6bb left.
We are with 10 players on the final table.

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
10 players left on final table
Average stack is 40500 = 10bb
Chips in play 405000 = 101.25bb
Blinds 2000/4000/400 ante

I am LoJack with 6bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 10bb
CO is big stack with 25bb

NASH SHOVE 29%
22+
A2s+
A4o+
K7s+
KTo+
Q9s+
QTo+
J8s+
JTo+
T8s+
98s
T7o+
97s+
65s+
86s+

Nash puts the SB on a call-percentage of 15%.
Nash puts the BB on a call-percentage of 25%.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 20.1%
22+
A2s+
A7o+
K9s+
KJo+
QTs+
JTs
T9s

So with still 6bb and you are in LoJack with 5 players behind you, don't openshove too wide.
No medium suited connectors and no small offsuited Aces, they are not strong enough.
All pockets, all suited Aces and suited BrBr are fine.

Stackdistribution
UTG 4bb
UTG+1 10bb
MP 6bb
MP+1 10bb
HERO LoJack 6bb
HiJack 10bb
CO 25bb
BTN 10bb
SB 10bb
BB 10bb

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
10 players left on final table
Average stack is 40500 = 10bb
Chips in play 405000 = 101.25bb
Blinds 2000/4000/400 ante

I am BTN with 6bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 10bb
CO is big stack with 25bb

Nash puts the SB on a call-percentage of 26%.
Nash puts the BB on a call-percentage of 38%.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 39.4%
22+
All Aces
All suited Kings
K6o+
Q6s+
Q9o+
J8s+
JTo
T7s+
T9o
97s+
87s
76s

So even when you are on the BTN don't openshove too wide if you still have 6bb.
The lower suited connectors and gappers you don't shove.
Suited Queens and Jacks without a decent kicker you don't shove.

Stackdistribution
UTG 4bb
UTG+1 10bb
MP 6.25bb
MP+1 10bb
LoJack 10bb
HiJack 10bb
CO 25bb
HERO BTN 6bb
SB 10bb
BB 10bb

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MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
10 players left on final table
Average stack is 40500 = 10bb
Chips in play 405000 = 101.25bb
Blinds 2000/4000/400 ante

I am BTN with 6bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 10bb
CO is big stack with 25bb

LoJack average stack openraises to 2.5bb.

When I shove Nash puts the SB and the BB on a call-percentage of 4%.
Nash puts the openraiser on a call-percentage of 15%.

I shove a very tight range

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 6%

77+
AJs+
AQo+

So on the BTN with still 6bb and someone openraises, only shove with pocketpairs and good Aces.
Don't shove any King, Queen or Jack or suited connectors.

Stackdistribution
UTG 4bb
UTG+1 10bb
MP 6.25bb
MP+1 10bb
LoJack 10bb
HiJack 10bb
CO 25bb
HERO BTN 6bb
SB 10bb
BB 10bb

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
10 players left on final table
Average stack is 40500 = 10bb
Chips in play 405000 = 101.25bb
Blinds 2000/4000/400 ante

I am BTN with 6bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 10bb
CO is big stack with 25bb

LoJack average stack shoves all in.
His shoverange is 24% and is wider than his openraise-range.
I therefor have a bit wider shoverange.
When I shove, Nash puts the SB and the BB on a call-percentage of about 4%.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 9.5%
66+
A9s+
ATo+
KQs

So on the BTN with still 6bb and someone openshove, only shove with reasonable pocketpairs and good Aces and KQs.
Don't shove any Queen or Jack or suited connectors.

Stackdistribution
UTG 4bb
UTG+1 10bb
MP 6.25bb
MP+1 10bb
LoJack 10bb
HiJack 10bb
CO 25bb
HERO BTN 6bb
SB 10bb
BB 10bb

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
10 players left on final table
Average stack is 40500 = 10bb
Chips in play 405000 = 101.25bb
Blinds 2000/4000/400 ante

I am SB with 6bb
The SB and the BB have average stacks of 10bb
CO is big stack with 25bb

Every-one has folded to me.
I thought that with 6bb SB I could shove any two.
But NASH shoves 79% and he puts BB on a call-percentage of about 57%.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 72.9%
All pocketpairs
All Aces
All Kings
All Queens
All suited Jacks
J4o+
All suited Tens
T6o+
93s+
96o+
84s+
86o+
74s+
76o
63s+
65o
53s+
43s

So on the SB with still 6bb still don't shove any two.
Don't shove suited combo's that have a 2.
Don't shove non-broadway-offsuited combo's that have a 2, 3 or 4.

Stackdistribution
UTG 4bb
UTG+1 10bb
MP 6.25bb
MP+1 10bb
LoJack 10bb
HiJack 10bb
CO 25bb
BTN 10bb
HERO SB 6bb
BB 10bb

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
10 players left on final table
Average stack is 40500 = 10bb
Chips in play 405000 = 101.25bb
Blinds 2000/4000/400 ante

I am BB with 6bb
CO is big stack with 25bb

LoJack average stack open-shoves.
NASH defends 17%

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 17%
33+
A3s+
A8o+
KTs+
KJo+

So don't defend too wide if you are on BB with still 6bb.

Stackdistribution
UTG 4bb
UTG+1 10bb
MP 6.25bb
MP+1 10bb
LoJack 10bb
HiJack 10bb
CO 25bb
BTN 10bb
SB 10bb
BB 6bb

Do you learn something with my calculations, please donate $1 to my Skrill:
adambeheer@hotmail.com

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
8 players left on final table
Average stack is 50625 = 8.4bb
Chips in play 405000 = 67.5bb
Blinds 3000/6000/400 ante

As the blindlevels have gone up, the total number of BB has decreased to 67.5bb
The stackdistribution also has been changed a bit.

The bubble comes into sight. 3 players have to be eliminated before we reach the money.
There are 3 stacks that are a bit shorter than I am.

I am BB with 6bb
CO is big stack with 25bb
UTG, MP and LoJack are the shortest stacks with 2, 5 and 4bb.

LoJack 4bb open-shoves. NASH gives him 23% Open-shove range.

NASH defends 28% with 6bb on BB.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 24.9%
22+
A2s+
A4o+
K9s+
KTo+
Q9s+
QJo+
JTs
T9s

Stackdistribution
UTG 2bb
MP 5bb
LoJack 4bb
HiJack 8.4bb
CO 25bb
BTN 8.4bb
SB 8.4bb
HERO BB 6bb

Do you learn something with my calculations, please donate $1 to my Skrill:
adambeheer@hotmail.com

Yesterday I came in the money in an Unibet MTT EU2 for which I had a free ticket.

There were 71 players and I finished 11th, just in the money. I really had help from my ICM-study. I knew better where I had to fold and where to push.

Also I went to the Breda Casino and inscribed for the life TN next Tuesday. It is a deepstack progressive bounty EU 200.

Today I do the calculation when an average stack that is bigger than me, openshoves and I am in BB.
My shoverange becomes much tighter, because now my life is at stake.

MTTSNG 27 players, 5 places paid
8 players left on final table
Average stack is 50625 = 8.4bb
Chips in play 405000 = 67.5bb
Blinds 3000/6000/400 ante

The bubble comes into sight. 3 players have to be eliminated before we reach the money.
There are 3 stacks that are a bit shorter than I am.

I am BB with 6bb
CO is big stack with 25bb
UTG, MP and LoJack are the shortest stacks with 2, 5 and 4bb.

HiJack with average stack of 8.4bb open-shoves. NASH gives him 26% Open-shove range.

NASH defends 9.5% with 6bb on BB.

CALCULATE +0.10%EV 9.2% 122cb
66+ 54cb
A9s+ 20cb
ATo+ 48cb

Stackdistribution
UTG 2bb
MP 5bb
LoJack 4bb
HiJack 8.4bb
CO 25bb
BTN 8.4bb
SB 8.4bb
HERO BB 6bb

If you appreciate my ICM-study and calculations, please donate $1 to my Skrill:
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4 players left
CO 9bb
HERO BTN 19bb
SB 14 bb
BB 14 bb

Push 88+ and AJo if the blinds call quite wide.

If they call more like NASH, then push 19%
22+
all suited aces
Br9s+
QJo
JTo

Casino Breda Deepstack Progessive Bounty 15.000 stack, 20 minutes levels

33 players, finished 16th.

Bigstack MP 60bb openraises to 2.5bb.
I SB 20bb AQo.
I played the hand like a cashgame and just called.
I checked it in ICMizer and it had to be a push.

Versus a 20%-openrange my AQo has 56% equity.

xxx and 1 diamond and he cbets 40% pot and I call with 2OCs.
Qd on turn, so I have TPTK. I played like a cashgame and wanted to x/raise. But he checked behind.
Kd on river and 3rd diamond, so runner runner 3 diamonds. And I x/folded.

Did I have to be scared of the runner runner flush possibility?
No, if he would have had a FD on the turn, he would have 2ndbarreled.

Did I have to be scared of the K?
I think I could have made the call with 2ndPair that was TP on the turn.
There was no straightpossibility.

Conclusion
I misplayed the hand. I played it too much as a cashgamehand and not the way I have to play a TN.

1 I had to push preflop
2 As played I had to donk all in when I turned TPTK
3 Versus this quite loose aggressive player maybe I could have made the call on the river.

After this hand my stack was seriously damaged. I only had about 13bb left.

Bencb stipulates the importance to surround yourself with like minders.
It is so strange that in the live poker scene I cannot find some one that is interested in studying with me. I have asked so many persons, but they are not interested in studying ICM or analyzing situations together.

Furthermore Bencb says that it is so very important to know your ICMranges for the end game. Playing the end game correctly is very important to reach a good ROI.

I am starting to make ICMcalculations for Spin % Go's, 3 handed, 1 place paid.
Ranges will be different.

How can you make ICM calculations for Spin & Go when there is no ICM?

Okay I see, maybe I have to say 3handed SNG with 1 place paid 100%.
That is what I have created in ICMizer. Hyper structure. Do you think that is correct?

I don't have any experience with ICMizer and you said ICM calculations and the name ICMizer made me think that it can do only ICM calculations, but probably selecting the options you mentioned might do the trick. Can't be sure because I'm not familiar with the software.

Anyways, good luck with the study & grind!

Spin % Go/SNG, 3 handed, 1 place paid.
Starts with 3 players, all have 15000.

BTN can openshove 23%.
SB can rebound-shove 14%.

If BTN folds, SB can openshove 45%.

Spin % Go/SNG, 3 handed, 1 place paid.
Starts with 3 players, all have 15000.

We are now HU
BTN has 25bb
Openshove 70%

BB with 5bb
Rebound shove 60%.