Patternised Number Generator and housebot proofing blog

So it's the end of another month. And the beginning of a whole new era for me!
No more fucking around now, I have just become a fully responsible adult, at the young age of 34 lol.

Yesterday I signed the contract to my new flat, first time ever having my own place all to myself. Pretty sad, really. But I've always been fairly lazy on that score and chosen to spend my money on cars and bikes rather than own place.

Problem is I've blown half my entire roll on the privilege! So as from when I eventually get the internet sorted there and am fully moved in next week, I will be having to grind proper hours instead of lazy arsed ones.

I'll probably be sticking with 18-mans mostly, with some 9's no doubt thrown in. I am a very poor recipient of variance so it stands to reason that I play the least variance game I can handle. I can't stand fifty50's or DoN's so that would never happen. I'll definitely be looking to be supernova by the end of the year, something I've never been before. And so I only recently found out, much better rakeback seems to be possible as supernova now than what used to be.

It's gonna be tough, for sure. First thing and very important, is going to be sorting out my grinding station. I find it hard to find a chair I can be comfortable in all day long (have been grinding on the laptop laying on my bed for about 2 yrs lol) so an expensive chair is going to be needed. Choosing one will be almost impossible as there is no trial period allowed for chairs afaik. Maybe there is, I haven't looked into it, but I shouldn't imagine you can get one, assemble it then disassemble and send it back in a week lol. Plus there's the type of desk, I can't sit with my arm forward on a desk all day it needs to be to my side therefore I would need a surface to the right of my chair to place the mouse etc etc blah blah, loads of trial and erroring to do before I can truly grind stupid hours.

Anyway, enough of that. Onto the month's review. Well not alot to talk about, really. Most of my games were 18-mans with a few hundred 9's and a few 180's in there. Let's hope next month sees a ridiculous amount of volume!

Pretty much settled into my new place now, but as of yet, still no broadband. It's meant to be activated in the next few days, however. Even so, my dongle's been pretty much reliable enough to have played some, I just haven't properly grinded at all; instead spending nearly every night downing beer and regging for random turbo MTT's. Past few days though I've slowly upped tables and played a few sets of $15 9's/18's mixed but keeping tables to around 14.

For the month I've played 11 hours at $70 an hour lol, so despite hardly playing, when I have played I've done very well. Something to note, I'm keeping a close eye on 9-man ROI potential and I'm 14% for the last 1k games and 12% for the last 2.2k 6-9mans, all $15....so just shows they're nice n fishy still.

Heard news that Spain may no longer be with us on pokerstars.eu as from 2012, which is a massive fuckin blow to be honest! I'd go so far as to say it could be a 1% drop in all us competent player's ROI's, maybe even more!! All this legislation bullshit is not good and it's very worrying as to where it's gonna end. If UK goes exclusive there will be a player pool of about 14 lol

Still to buy that chair and desk, I can't bring myself to make a damn decision on anything! I'm REALLY nit picky and indecisive when it comes to buying just about anything. On top of that I've still to get a SSD drive for my pc and find a version of windows 7 64bit to so I can fit tons more ram in also. But because I also want some speaker in my place, probably surround, this means I also need a tv LOL, I mean a DECENT tv as right now I have an old standard thing. So as I can't afford everything at the same time I've opted to get the tv and speakers first and keep grinding on the laptop until I've earned enough money once again then get comfy chair n desk. Oh the dilemmas and drama of buying stuff! lol.

I just thought I would drop in and say thanks for the hand evaluations. Even though I'm playing STTs at much lower stakes than you. reading this blog has given me some inspiration to get some volume in and play through my downswing so thanks again. Keep up the good blog and good luck at the tables!

Great you have a place of your own now, must be nice

A question about the Pstars 9mans, what time(s) of the day would you say are the best to play at, fish wise?

Is 8-10% still sustainable over let's say 10k games at the $15s?

Good luck with getting decent volume this month, what are you aiming for? 2-2.5k games?

Originally posted by Fields1878
I just thought I would drop in and say thanks for the hand evaluations. Even though I'm playing STTs at much lower stakes than you. reading this blog has given me some inspiration to get some volume in and play through my downswing so thanks again. Keep up the good blog and good luck at the tables!

Thanks, good to be an inspiration.

Demonic, I'm not sure what they're like during peak hours, I've mostly played in the middle of the night but they reg quite slow, hence mixing in the 18's. You could mix in 6 max with them instead and they're even fishier I think.

I'd say 9-10% is possible at the moment yes, tbh my red line is about 7% but it's rising rapidly towards the green instead of the green sinking to the red like it usually does lol. I'm still pretty convinced red lines don't tell full stories anyway.

If I'm to get 2k games this month I'll have to play 2k this week lmao! No next month will have to be where it all start big time, which isn't good really as this is the worst time of year for regs, but hopefully not at these stakes.

Did you ever do that vid?

Originally posted by dangermowse

Originally posted by Fields1878
I just thought I would drop in and say thanks for the hand evaluations. Even though I'm playing STTs at much lower stakes than you. reading this blog has given me some inspiration to get some volume in and play through my downswing so thanks again. Keep up the good blog and good luck at the tables!

Thanks, good to be an inspiration.

Demonic, I'm not sure what they're like during peak hours, I've mostly played in the middle of the night but they reg quite slow, hence mixing in the 18's. You could mix in 6 max with them instead and they're even fishier I think.

I'd say 9-10% is possible at the moment yes, tbh my red line is about 7% but it's rising rapidly towards the green instead of the green sinking to the red like it usually does lol. I'm still pretty convinced red lines don't tell full stories anyway.

If I'm to get 2k games this month I'll have to play 2k this week lmao! No next month will have to be where it all start big time, which isn't good really as this is the worst time of year for regs, but hopefully not at these stakes.

Did you ever do that vid?

No I didn't do that vid yet, since I'm still playing at Ongame (RB ftw).

Really nice blog with some truely impressive graphs.

Hope you are still doing well at the tables

And in answer to earlier posts. I cant win with music on either

I'llbe following.It looks like you're crushing the 15's big,big time!When I first tried 18man in June they were so juicy,now it looks to me like a lot of 9's reg have moved to 18s due to that reason.They also have better traffic than the 9's,lol!Btw,how do you find the 30$'s 18max?

Originally posted by Wacko118

And in answer to earlier posts. I cant win with music on either

Yeh such a strange curse that is!

Umm I can't say i've noticed many 9m regs moving to the 18's, most are scared of them because they've always been notoriously reg infested so most of them have moved to 45's and 180's. I haven't played many $30 games but they're definitely beatable for around 10% max, but you gotta be shit hot to achieve that!

My October has started off horrendously. It's hilarious just how this stuff is turned on and off like a switch as new months begin and end. I'm afraid my small amount of run-half-decent has now ended and it's back to the old shit I've been used to for 7 odd years. It makes a person ill. I can't get my grind on at the moment as I'm instantly soul crushed the first ten minutes in and just give up.

Strangely, my results don't seem to reflect how bad I'm running as I'm only down $200 so far. It's strange how variance can work, in that you can have awful bad luck yet still not lose a whole bunch, yet you can feel like you're on fire and win next to nothing. I wish I was one of the many grinders out there who could just block it out and carry on regardless, but I put so much effort and thought into my game, so much so that I'm timing out all the time just 16-tabling lately, that it hurts all the more when you make a soul reading hero call with J7o to see villain's 97o bink the universe time and time again.

Dropped in whilst searching for sng blogs to get motivation/information from as im currently 45 bi's below ev and my way of dealing with it is finding some1 worse off then me and from the 1st page of your blog i see that some1 is you harsh swiings anyway hi and bye ill keep an eye on this blog

You can say that again. Having an October from absolute HELL, just to make up for the unfair amount of run good I've had all my life. Oh and that's once again after getting verification that my game is A+ from yet another top world class player, so that's four world class players at the top of all their SnG devisions who have approved my game. It totally clarifies this game is 99% LUCK.

Originally posted by dangermowse
You can say that again. Having an October from absolute HELL, just to make up for the unfair amount of run good I've had all my life. Oh and that's once again after getting verification that my game is A+ from yet another top world class player, so that's four world class players at the top of all their SnG devisions who have approved my game. It totally clarifies this game is 99% LUCK.

And yet you're still wondering, wtf I'm I doing wrong, aren't ya?

Not for much longer, got the noose attached, just need a rafter to tie it round. Don't know how much of this shit I can take, seriously, it's making me ill.

Ten days since my loast moan. Feels alot less actually. I've managed to slightly pull out of the rut in those ten days.

Only 8 days were playing days, mind, and 6 of those were winners. I did manage to get in some 120+ game days which is good growth for me at the moment. None of the days amounted to over 7hrs though.

But despite some winning days they were still exceptionally frustrating and very unsatisfying due to many beats stopping me having any one incredible day. One day was mostly 180's and I remember being CL at 3 or 4 FT's that all saw huge coolers stopping me having a potential $2k day. In fact the beats have still been raining in thick and fast and not a single one of those winning days felt even close to winning tbh.

And for the whole of October I'm just about in the black with a 1.7% ROI over 1200 games lol.

Aside from all that usual bullshit, I am still learning alot. Firstly, I have been extending sessions and forcing myself to keep loading games whilst also dealing with bubble, ITM and HU situations. That might seem pretty basic but for me it's a habit I'm finding very hard to get in to. Because I concentrate so hard on every hand (unlike alot of mass table robots, I feel), I will often just plain forget to keep loading and before I know it will be down to 12-14 tables when I'm meant to be keeping 18-20 going.

Now what I'm finding out from this is that keeping up concentration levels is way, way more crucial than I ever realised. After 2 hours of solid loading (and of course the usual sick beats) I find myself hardly caring anymore and getting sloppy. More tables popping up with post flop decisions where I've totally forgot what happend pre, whether I'm supposed to be aggressing or following someone's lead, et cetera and so forth.

It is making me realise there are many more reasons as to good regs differing ROI's. Especially those that SUPPOSEDLY 30-40 table. I mean I seriously don't have a fucking clue how anyone manages that many tables, especially since the Stars software sped up a ton. I will quick fire fold relentlessly with just 20 tables going and still have no time to think on a hand, and that can be constant for well over one minute before you get a 3 second break, so how the fuck you can do that 35 tabling is absolutely beyond me.

So it answers the question as to why there are so many crap ROI's out there, especially in the 180's where the majority of those playing over 25 tables are at. I mean these guys think they play well, on 2+2 swearing their hand advice is best when actually the majority of MTTSNG advice over there is hilariously bad, so I can see they must be making hundreds of critical mistakes every day in their games.

There's one guy in that forum who is a coach, his location advertises his coaching listing; his advice is horrendous man! I get tempted to tell them so but I hold back and decide not to tap the reg-fish glass. These people are going to do me a favour and teach players to play bad so I ain't gonna stop em!

Since last post (early hours of sat) I've done ok. I don't usually play on weekends so when I do I'll often play the games I don't usually play, like MTTs or in this week's case, some 45-mans. I managed to bink not one but TWO $15 45's in the course of 2 days. The first one was a miraculous game. I had 2.5bbs utg on the bubble, which btw I DIDN'T shove, got all the way to HU then had ONE BB left and came back to win it
I then binked one again on sunday and was on course for a $550 dollar weekend from 112 games but it got slightly tainted with a $200+ losing session in a bunch of 9-mans later, which was very frustrating because they were full of fish! Red line was 13%

One thing you can guarantee about run good/bad, is it will occur in different game types at different times. eg if you're running good in 18's, play some 9's and you'll run terrible. Run bad in 18's, play some 180's you could suddenly run well. But you will never EVER run well in all game types even over the course of one day (at least I never have).

Rofl, I used to do the same some months ago. I start running very poorly in 9 max, so I switch to a different format, usually cash or mtt to unjinx myself ♦ Then I tried something different . Whenever I feel I have a bad run-you can easily tell(lose 20+ BI in like 35 games), running card dead etc, I move down a limit until the bad variance is gone(usually lasts for like few hundred games). Sometimes it helps preventing tilting as well.

A few hundred? You lucky sod lol.

Well today's been very mixed. Some good and some bad fortune.

First off I got my car through it's MOT. It failed last week and the place where I took it decided to quote me £400 for some very minor work to get it through! So I went elsewhere and got it done for £150!!! Bloody con artists, well I know me stuff so I knew the quote was hideous! Quite how they maintain a customer base is beyond me!

So then back home to grind and all day it went terribly (so pretty normal then). I played 80 games and lost 60 bux running awfully.

Then I started a night grind at about 9.30pm with some 18's and 180's. So all was going badly again when my fucking pc decides to crash with 20+ tables and as I've flopped two sets also!! I couldn't get my laptop set up quick enough to log in before the set hands had folded themselves so I was pretty pissed. But.....BUT...thankfully I went on to take down one of the 180's, an $8 of course, not a $15 unfortunately. I do much better in the $8's than $15's but I don't know why cause I'd presume all regs play in both so there shouldn't be much skill difference.

The biggest turning point I think was just after bubble burst I Grind This to my right shoved 18bbs into me bvb. Sitting on AQs I SNAPPED and proceeded to cack one's pants praying to fade a J or T vs his JTo. LOL shoving 18bbs with JTo!! So many piss poor regs too scared to play proper poker.

So the day ended up +$360.

U run good
I think JTo 18bb eff is definitely EV+ shove. It is a myth you cant push so many blinds bvb. TJo is an exact hand that u dont want to raise/fold. U also might not want to limp/call OOP. U might decide to limb/stab, but u can do that with atc. I like that shove.

I'm SNG lover, but i cant put the amount of volume u did. Anyway, after seeing your graph the amount of u playing, it really motivate me to play more...

Well I have 2 months deadline to buy the Golf membership that i/ve been waiting for years before it goes to other hand.

So Im planning to play as much as i can on Nov, to buy the golf membership. Well its kinda investment.

Well, Milan, of course there are so many shoves that are +ev, but definitely not +mev (maximum ev). With such a healthy stack you can't be taking those risks imo. When the whole table has folded then the chances BB holds the best hand that was dealt is pretty damn high, hence so many bvb stand offs. In his shoes I'd just complete/fold-stab.

Justin, glad to be of assistance in aiding some motivation, although my volume is pretty darn poor compared with alot of grinders out there. Some crazy guy over on 2+2 is going for 24,000 50-fiftys in one month!!! That's just comical.

Today I can finally report the best day for a long time. And all in the 18-mans aswell, which is where I'm desperate to get my ROI up after a slow diminish all this month.

In all fairness, today I ran pretty incredibly. In one session I must have won ten or more consecutive multi-way all-ins, building stacks in every game, leading things to get very hard to control as I got to bubble stage in so many games at once.

Here's the 2 highlight hands of the day.

Poker Stars, $13.89 Buy-in (75/150 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players

MP1: 1,859 (12.4 bb)
MP2: 59 (0.4 bb)
MP3: 1,370 (9.1 bb)
CO: 2,715 (18.1 bb)
BTN: 1,290 (8.6 bb)
SB: 1,273 (8.5 bb)
Hero (BB): 3,419 (22.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9♣ 5♣
MP1 folds, MP2 calls 59 and is all-in, 3 folds, SB completes, Hero checks

Flop: (359) Q♠ 7♣ 6♣ (3 players, 1 is all-in)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (359) A♠ (3 players, 1 is all-in)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (359) 8♣ (3 players, 1 is all-in)
SB bets 300, Hero raises to 900, SB raises to 1,123 and is all-in, Hero calls 223

Results: 2,605 pot
Final Board: Q♠ 7♣ 6♣ A♠ 8♣
MP2 showed 4♥ K♦ and lost (-59 net)
SB showed 2♣ 3♣ and lost (-1,273 net)
Hero showed 9♣ 5♣ and won 2,605 (1,332 net)

Not a huge pot but still, probably the most strangley acquired straight flush I'll ever have.

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But this one hand of the day. Flatter is a good 18m reg. Now when I bet flop I had loads of 3-5 handed tables popping up, most of which I was cL in so was needing to raise nearly every hand, and so I didn't even notice the villain in this hand until the turn. I then glanced to villain and thought "oh shit! What does he have? It can only be AA!" If the 6 hadn't come along I no doubt would have been sucked in.

Poker Stars, $13.89 Buy-in (150/300 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players

SB: 8,670 (28.9 bb)
BB: 5,715 (19.1 bb)
Hero (MP): 6,050 (20.2 bb)
CO: 4,770 (15.9 bb)
BTN: 1,795 (6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A♥ 6♠
Hero raises to 630, CO calls 630, 3 folds

Flop: (1,835) 6♣ 7♦ A♠ (2 players)
Hero bets 777, CO calls 777

Turn: (3,389) 6♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (3,389) 6♥ (2 players)
Hero bets 1,999, CO raises to 3,338 and is all-in, Hero calls 1,339

Results: 10,065 pot
Final Board: 6♣ 7♦ A♠ 6♦ 6♥
Hero showed A♥ 6♠ and won 10,065 (5,295 net)
CO showed A♦ A♣ and lost (-4,770 net)

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This was literally my THIRD best day of the year, best day since 28th of March, and still only $600. THAT'S how bad I run ♦

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Still too many 3rds for my liking!