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NL100 K6s Speed

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Fidel22
Joined: 05.12.2008

villain

IPoker, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $114.54 (114.5 bb)
BB: $208.35 (208.4 bb)
Hero (CO): $101.95 (102 bb)
BTN: $125.70 (125.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K 6
Hero raises to $2.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($5.50) 8 2 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.85, BB calls $3.85

Turn: ($13.20) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $10.56, BB raises to $26.92, Hero calls $16.36

River: ($67.04) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $175.08, Hero calls $68.68 and is all-in

What is the bottom of your calling range OTR?

Thank you.


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4 replies
Purity
Joined: 28.01.2008

Aww though spot! If villain is a thinking player he knows ur gonna barrel the K turn alot of the time with your air and therefore it would be a good spot for him to check/raise.
Howeverrrrrrrr after u called the turn check/raise you're range becomes alot stronger ( You represent Kx and draws )
=> Villain can't expect you to fold Kx that often

I would also call the river because we have 2 pair but honestly us having K6 isn't that much of a big difference here compared to a hand like AK/KQ/KJ.
=> The only hand in his range that we beat having K6 and would not beat having AK is 86

86 : 6 combos
88: 3 combos
66: 1 combo
22: 3 combos
A:h x:h : 7 combos ( I assume he 3bets AJs + )
7:h 9:h : 1 combo
79: maybe in his range

You know you can start comparing different combinations to eachother and then start analyzing what's the best on the river.

However you should ask yourself one question which is alot more important than pulling up different combinations etc... :

1) Is villain even capable of bluffshoving the river ? Is he the type ? Not many players are capable of check/raising a K turn and shoving the river with a bluff.
=> Villain might have 500 combinations to bluff and 5 combinations that have you beat
=> But if villain is a nit and never ever bluffing than he has these 5 combinations 100% of the time

To make long answer short:

My bottom calling range is: K2, K6, K8, K4, 86
I fold: Every 1pair hand incl KJ+
( I'll be honest, some of time i'll make a crying call with a hand like KQ but hate life because I know villain isn't bluffing enough in this spot to make that call profitable)


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ETBrooD
Joined: 16.09.2009

Villain doesn't seem to be over-aggressive. His line doesn't looks like a draw.
We are at the top of our range postflop and we have a set blocker.

I guess we can do either, fold or call. I think folding should have a higher EV in a vacuum, but that's just my experience.

Personally I don't like the c-bet on this texture. I doubt our hand is good enough to double barrel for value.


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Villain defends wide from bb, doesn't fold much on the flop, c/raises an absurd amount on the turn and is unlikely to not bluff this river since we have so many draws in our turn calling range. For those reasons, I probably call JJ+ and 8x.


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ETBrooD
Joined: 16.09.2009

Originally posted by Shevtshenko
Villain defends wide from bb, doesn't fold much on the flop, c/raises an absurd amount on the turn and is unlikely to not bluff this river since we have so many draws in our turn calling range. For those reasons, I probably call JJ+ and 8x.

Over a small sample like that these stats will be skewed by variance 80%+ of the time. I don't see anything out of line there.
Yes, villain should bluff this river seeing that we're probably capped, but at the same time he should be aware that this is not a very scary runout for TP. I doubt that this is a standard bluff spot, the range villain's repping is very thin.
We're not blocking massively, just 2 set combinations and some TP with better kicker. Relative to what villain represents our hand is a mere bluff catcher.
Because villain could have a hand like KQ we should probably call but other than that I think the range you're suggesting we should defend is much much too wide.


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