Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($22.80)
BB ($135)
Hero ($122)
UTG+1 ($204)
CO ($91.20)
BTN ($73.75)
Dealt to Hero J♠ K♥
Hero raises to $4, UTG+1 calls $4, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $3
FLOP ($12.50) 7♠ 2♣ 2♦
BB checks, Hero bets $8, UTG+1 calls $8, BB folds
TURN ($28.50) 7♠ 2♣ 2♦ K♦
Hero bets $18, UTG+1 raises to $42, Hero ???
UTG+1: 23/12/1.2, 3bet 0.9% (306 hands), more stats on request.
BB: 33/15/3.5 (121 hands), more stats on request.
I raise preflop because of fish in the blinds. I miss the flop but the fold to cbet of BB was 78% and of UTG+1 was 56%, so I thought I had decent FE on this board because they'll hardly ever hit. However, I think afterwards that UTG+1 can often have a PP or some Ax kinda hand which he is able to call here.
On the turn I spike my king, so I make a logical bet I think, but what to do after the raise? I think he can have like 77 or AK and maybe even KQ. But I think I'm basically always beat here....
So do I fold/call/shove?