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Last Post by VorpalF2F 12 years ago

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Balltas

Joined: 13.01.2011

Posts: 103

02.07.2014, 14:07 0

hello

I made some interesting calculations and I wonder if its right.

This calculation includes (for simplification)

asuming oponents will never fold.
you play only pocket pairs
pocket pairs are not delt on blinds.
yuo never bluff.
yuo never protect your blinds.
yuo fold all other hands than pocket pairs.
yuo fold anything after the flop except set or better.

so odds to recieve a pp is 1 out of 17 times ~5.88%
so we need to pay 8.5 bb on average to recieve 1 pp.
if you want to see the flop you usuall have to pay 4 (as to PRF or call) more BBs thats total of 12.5 bb asuming you never hit pp on blinds.
now if you hit you play and fold if you dont.
yuo can hit 1 time in 7.78. its around 12.7%

so playing like this yuo need 98.43BBs on average to invest to hit a set or better on the flop.

I am using holdem manager I dont know.. maybe besides BSS strategy I should use like blind steals - resteals based on statistics?
How are you improving your winnings? tell me whats on yuor mind. what straetgies are you using and how do you configure them.

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1 reply

VorpalF2F

Super Moderator

Joined: 02.09.2010

Posts: 45,199

02.07.2014, 14:48 0

Hi, Balltas
Hmmm...

Pocket pairs are only 1 small part of an overall game plan.

If you have a pair 6% of the time, and hit 12% of those, you'll have a set less than once in a hundred hands.

But hitting a set is not the only way to play (and win) with pocket pairs, so although your calculations may work in that situation they don't cover all the angles.

If you are dealt PP you can raise pre and
♦  get a chorus of folds and win the dead money
♦  get one or two callers, CBet and take it down OTF
♦  have your CBet called and hit your set OTT or OTR
♦  win at showdown w/ best hand unimproved <- probably most common

But probably the best part of your post is this:

maybe besides BSS strategy I should use like blind steals - resteals based on statistics?

Blind steals are a major part of BSS. By all means take stats into account, but steal all you can get away with. Have a look at the starting hands charts, and you'll see that from the BU you can open a LOT of hands.

Even if you don't USE the SHC, you should be aware of the opening ranges for the various positions.

Best of luck,
--VS

Bizarre hand? Post it in Hand of the Day!!
Mind Games: My blog
As in life, so in a game of hazard, skill will make something of the worst of throws from Moonfleet by JM Falkner

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