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River bluff or not?

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PokerStars - $0.25/$0.50 (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players

BTN: $9.02
SB: $3.08 - 75/0 (3)
Hero (BB): $13.34

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 6♣ J♣

BTN raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.50, 3 players) 4♣ 3♦ 8♦
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($1.50, 3 players) 2♣
SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, fold, SB calls $0.50

I had note that if BTN didn't bet the flop, he gives up his hand on the turn. So the only worry is SB, fish with 3 hands played with him, but I have a lot of outs so I decided to make this semi-bluff bet.

River: ($2.50, 2 players) 4♠
SB checks, Hero ?

I can't say for sure he gives up Kx, Ax on paired board, not saying about pairs. Actually my plan was to get the pot on the turn or give up the pot UI. Without info we can't say whether this bluff bet is +EV, or am I missing smth?


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MrT61
Joined: 17.09.2011

as played I think we have to bet the river again,

(the problem here is the turnbet ; early in the session with no reads we have to bet river ; if called we get some info AND give him the opportunity to see that we bluff....will call us down more lightly later!)

gr


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Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Hi!

Turnbet is good.Equity is very high considering even our pair outs might be good and we dont really need much FE which we get.And since we will not fold this one anyway its usually better to just bet on our own.

River is close between.You cant really expect SB to fold a pair and he may have some of these,however 8x,4x are not too likely.You cant really expect him to fold Ax(polly even some Kx) on this card so betting would be to make some Jx,Qx,Kx to fold. Now comparing pairs+Ax vs Jx,Qx,Kx it should be good enough getting 1:5 on our bluff.Also like MrT61 said,having a more agro image is always a good side effect.

Also cheking back is not terrible since we actually do have some small amount of SDvalue (we beat some FDs,SDs)and it pot is not superhuge and we really wouldnt want to be called by something like K5 here which may easily happen.


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