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Set mining yes or no

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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

This is a spot where we must win more than our fair share of pots for it to be profitable to call (13x is by itself simply not enough in implied odds, in spite of position). This implies that we sometimes must make SB fold a higher pair than 66 postflop. Can you push SB off of a big pair at $2NL by floating a couple of streets? No, that's just added -EV.

If there is good grounds that SB will go berzerk with AK..., nope, doesn't work either because AK can hit and AK can play smart and lose little when 66 is good.

I'd call on the button with one more caller or 200bb+ deep. This here is a fold and it isn't even close.


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NothingIsForSho
Joined: 01.06.2014

hey i just realized, thats where the call15 rule comes from - 1/0.067

of course they say call20 since its not always ak, qq+ and not always shipped in on the flop.


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mattyvx
Joined: 15.04.2015

Yohan what's your calling range out of interest? i struggle in these spots


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mattyvx
Joined: 15.04.2015

sorry you are right & my maths was wrong - it's like 6 3bets

but i'm still fairly convinced he never has a bluff range in this spot & is range is insanely strong here - squeeze is probably too big to call anyways but I think we do have good implied vs a strong range


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