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KK donk on 4-card FD board with flush?

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pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008
Oldschool Grinder

His range is quite limited after the pre / flop flop so I am pretty sure I am up againt AA / QQ. Is this river a good spot to donk or should I just c/c it?

Stats villian: VPIP 19 PFR 15 3-bet 9.3 AF 1.7 WTSD 41 and W$SD 54; 20K hands

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is SB with K K
UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises, MP2 folds, MP3 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero caps, BB folds, MP1 calls, MP3 calls

Flop: (13 SB) 9 7 3 (3 players)
Hero bets, MP1 calls, MP3 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP1 folds, MP3 caps, Hero calls

Turn: (11 BB) T (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets, Hero calls

River: (13 BB) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets, Hero calls

Results:

Spoiler

15 BB pot (0.3 BB rake)
Final Board: 9 7 3 T 5
Hero showed K K and won 14.7 BB (8.7 BB net)
MP3 showed A A and lost (-6 BB net)


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2 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009
PokerStrategist

The donk is fine provided your range estimate is correct. He isn't betting without a :diamond:, but will call. He might even raise with Q♦. Only the 3 combos with A♦ in it are bad news. the rest (9 combos) are likely to net you a bet. (Don't forget the possibility of JJ, making the donk even better.)


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006
BlackMember

First of all i agree with your assumptions and even if he'd overplay JJ and you'd be up against JJ QQ and AA, dont forget that this small and apparent advantages is quickly vanished by the fact that he could have AJ AQ andmaybe sometimes QJ :diamond: and 99 is likely too! 77 3bet would be a bit loose but not entirely off his range. i'd take 1 combo in his range. So the sligh advantage is quickly melting away. check/call on the Turn is fine but by the river - as yohann already mentioned you should lead out with your madeflush as you just have to worry about the few Nutflush combos but the worse hands hes calling but not betting dominate his range! in this case you were lucky that he falsely decided to bet AA no flush but basically you can expect your opponent to do so. most of them would check JJ QQ KK AA no :diamond: but pay off a donkbet.

further suggestions / questions?


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