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KK - set on flop - turn makes flush

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schelleXL
Joined: 05.05.2011

Hello,

I think I have to keep betting turn for value from 1 :diamond: draws, lower sets (and maybe KQ/Kj type of hands with a :diamond: kicker).

river should be a simple fold.

MP+1: $12.64 (VPIP: 23.68, PFR: 18.42, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 39)
Hero (MP+2): $13.10
CO: $21.55 (VPIP: 19.14, PFR: 11.73, 3Bet Preflop: 4.92, Hands: 162)
BTN: $11.81 (VPIP: 16.22, PFR: 13.51, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 37)
SB: $12.90 (VPIP: 13.46, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 54)
BB: $5.27 (VPIP: 33.21, PFR: 15.83, 3Bet Preflop: 6.12, Hands: 850)
UTG: $17.91 (VPIP: 25.64, PFR: 17.95, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 39)
UTG+1: $4.00 (VPIP: 16.10, PFR: 12.37, 3Bet Preflop: 5.98, Hands: 867)
MP: $10.34 (VPIP: 12.84, PFR: 6.13, 3Bet Preflop: 2.26, Hands: 711)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K♥ K♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) 7♦ K♦ 9♠
BB checks, Hero bets $0.52, BB calls $0.52

Turn: ($1.69, 2 players) T♦
BB checks, Hero bets $1.36, BB calls $1.36

River: ($4.41, 2 players) 6♥
BB bets $3.09 and is all-in, Hero calls $3.09

Spoiler

BB shows J♦ 9♦ (Flush, King High)
(Pre 20%, Flop 30%, Turn 80%)
Hero shows K♥ K♠ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 80%, Flop 70%, Turn 20%)
BB wins $10.11


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8 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think it is fine to bet turn too. River is a fold.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Hello.

Originally posted by schelleXL
Hello,

I think I have to keep betting turn for value from 1 :diamond: draws, lower sets (and maybe KQ/Kj type of hands with a :diamond: kicker).

I think that villain will raise his sets on the flop. But yes you have to bet turn because of the reasons you said.

River donks are usually really unbalanced and really nuts in these stakes. Not sure if you should be folding this hand tough. He could play something like KT or 9T this way?

I'd say its better to fold your two pair hands as played on river and call with sets as your bluffcatchers? If you are folding top set on the river to his donk you are folding almost all of your range?

I'm not sure. I think that its close between folding and calling.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Lower sets, 2 pair etc will check this river. Villains river shove is either complete air or flush/straight. And I think most likely it is not air. Calling OTR would not be bluffcatching imo because villain doesn't have bluff here. If he had shoved OTT it could be a bluff or if turn was 6h and river Td he could bluff there. Got my point?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Bet flop and turn is right for me. I can argue about making turn bet smaller.
With this line, which is mostly for value on lowlimits - we should fold.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Yes ok folding river is best play.


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Tough hand. I think you played it pretty well, though. Hard to lay down top set here. I would have probably made that call on the river, too.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

With what hands do you think he is calling 2 streets and donk AI on river? Lower sets would have raised you earlier. 2draws completed and villain donks... this is a fold.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Yes, most hands in my mind would have me beat here. Think we can comfortably fold OTR. With what would he bluff?
I also might bet smaller OTT or even a check would suffice. Board becomes quite scary. The set of Kings is nice but it is quite out of the board 6, 7, 9,10 plus 3 diamond board texture.


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