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KK on A-high flop, turn a set with interesting river

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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010
Hold'em is Hard

I don't play hold'em much...
Pacific Poker - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $0.40
Hero (SB): $2.47
BB: $1.36
UTG: $7.08
MP: $1.01
CO: $2.13

Hero posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has K♠:K♦:

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.06, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.12, 2 players) A♦:3♥:5♣:
Hero checks, BB checks << I intended to flat most bets by BB & happy to see a free turn

Turn: ($0.12, 2 players) K♣:
Hero bets $0.03, BB calls $0.03 << tried to induce a raise here

River: ($0.18, 2 players) 2♠:
Hero bets $0.09, BB raises to $0.22, Hero ???

Thoughts:
:diamond:  He doesn't have AA -- he would have been a lot more pushy
:diamond:  A5 A4 64 all possible -- he's not playing w/ full stack
:diamond:  Does someone with so few chips bluff here?

What's the correct play OTR?

Did I make any mistakes earlier?


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would just bet the turn at least half pot against a unknown for value and proection. I don't think inducing will work to often on NL2. As played I would most likely call tthe raise. Villain could have a straight, but decent change you are up against 2 pair as well. Villain could over value his/her hand.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Maxu4ever
Joined: 18.03.2011

I would have c-bet the Flop there to 1/2. On the T you bet 1/3 of the pot with Set that is way to small..you lose value from your hand. At least 8c. On the river it's a call.

I did a simulation and on a A2 - A5, 22-55 and 45 you are a coinflip. So easy call. If you remove the A2 and A5 combos you still have 33% equity. You still have to put 13c into a 49c pot. 49:13 that's 3.8:1 that's arox 25%.

Based on his raise you need to win 25% of the time and poker stove gives you 33%. So it is a call.


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marcvz
Joined: 03.04.2012

This feels like a spot, at least in my experience, where you call and they always show a 4.
And if I somehow have a 4, they always have 46o and I shout how stupid their PF call was..

Math sais you should call. My gut sais you're beat.
On my good days, I can fold hands like this on NL5 and my winrate goes up.


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VorpalF2F Topic starter
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by marcvz
This feels like a spot, at least in my experience, where you call and they always show a 4.
And if I somehow have a 4, they always have 46o and I shout how stupid their PF call was..

Math sais you should call. My gut sais you're beat.
On my good days, I can fold hands like this on NL5 and my winrate goes up.

You're psychic
I did call, and he shows K4o
In this rare case, I think that none of the proper plays would have made me money.
I think only that betting big OTF might have worked.
Once the K comes on the turn, I doubt he is folding a pair and a gutshot.

What is even more interesting, is that this was my best hand dealt this sessions.
My biggest wins all came from bad plays that sucked out.

My best holdem session in terms of $ won for quite a while, yet one of my worst in how I played. Hold'em is Hard


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