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6max pocket pair against two overcards would you call the river?

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kingdollar
Joined: 13.04.2007

Dear Community,
would you call the river bet from villian? I mean he was passive all and which hand is improved from the 6? Pocket 66, but would he raise from MP with this hand? Maybe also a two pair K6 or Q6? But I don't think he will raise with such hands from Middle Position. The possible flush draw is busted, would you have bet the turn when you would be me?

GG Poker - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 106 BB (VPIP: 11.54, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 29)
UTG: 213 BB (VPIP: 27.59, PFR: 18.97, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 60)
MP: 97 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
Hero (CO): 114.5 BB
BTN: 124 BB (VPIP: 17.24, PFR: 17.24, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 31)
SB: 105 BB (VPIP: 29.73, PFR: 24.32, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 39)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♥ 9♠

fold, MP raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 3♠ Q♥ 8♠
MP checks, Hero bets 5 BB, MP calls 5 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) K♥
MP checks, Hero checks

River: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 6♦
MP bets 22 BB, Hero calls 22 BB

MP shows J♥ A♥ (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 47%, Flop 27%, Turn 39%)
Hero shows 9♥ 9♠ (One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 53%, Flop 73%, Turn 61%)
Hero wins 56 BB

best regards,
Kingdollar


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6 replies
taavi1337
Joined: 29.05.2009

I would 3bet him pre and River is close, i could go either way depending on my reads, overbet is quite high price to pay with 99 on KQx


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by taavi1337
I would 3bet him pre and River is close, i could go either way depending on my reads, overbet is quite high price to pay with 99 on KQx

True, but MP is playing 50/50 over 4 hands. It's time to see what he's made of.
So 3Betting pre is a start — but then you must call.
After checking both flop and turn, the overbet looks really polarized — you're dead or he has air.

Nice hand

P.S. Don't do this too often!


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Stackoffski
Joined: 08.09.2021

I would definitely 3bet pre as well. This way you can rep al the monsters, good hands postflop, but also weaker stuff, because you might be full of it this first time after he just joined the table (in his eyes). You can basically rep everything.

Also, blinds may 3bet a lot if we call. (again not much hands, but ..)

and there are more other reasons to 3bet like rake, less postflop guesswork


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kingdollar
Joined: 13.04.2007

Hi VorpalF2F, Hi Stackoffski,
thank you for your feedback. Is it true that the forum is quite rarely used these days? I remember years ago a lot more users where active here? It was a big active community.

best regards,
kingdollar


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by kingdollar
Hi VorpalF2F, Hi Stackoffski,
thank you for your feedback. Is it true that the forum is quite rarely used these days? I remember years ago a lot more users where active here? It was a big active community.

I wouldn't say "rarely" but yeah, it is used less. Not quite as many online players these days.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

3betting seems indeed better. As played I would most likely check behind the flop with the flush blockers and your hand has decent showdown value on Q high board. You don't want to face a check/raise and hard to get value I think. Only a another over card could be a problem on the turn.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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