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[Closed] NL400 SH do I ship the river if he checks?

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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Let's Assume Villian counts to 10 and check the river

Poker Stars $400.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 693498
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $775.00
MP: $260.70
CO: $447.70
Hero (BTN): $498.80
SB: $371.50
BB: $475.00

Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is BTN with Q :club: 9 :club:
1 fold, MP raises to $12, 1 fold, Hero calls $12, 2 folds

Flop: ($30.00) 8 :heart: 7 :heart: 4 :spade: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $20.00, MP calls $20

Turn: ($70.00) 6 :heart: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $50.00, MP calls $50

River: ($170.00) 2 :heart: (2 players)
MP bets $178.70, Hero folds

His PTR rating is about 37 which makes me inclined to think he is kind of mediocre. I only have about 50+ hands on him and haven't seen anything fancy from him.
30/23/10.3, AF=4, and cbetted flop 3 out of 3 times

I don't know if I should just jam the river if he checks. I really can't think of anything that can withstand such huge amounts of pressure. He is mediocre, but I don't think he's some leaky fish.

I'm not too sure if this guy will trap with a hand like top/medium set here on this drawy board. He seemed to be counting 10 seconds then check for flop and turn which may seem a little trappy IMO.

Given his aggression, I also don't really put many draws in his range, mostly weak pair type of hands


4 replies
Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Is that PTR rating of 37 like Hansen running hawt 92? If so I found this a very very inaccurate way of measuring someone's skill and capabilities

Since you play 4 tables you can better watch the previous hands played, stacksizes etc.

I think when he checks on the river and you jam PSB, he only has to fold 50% which I am sure he will and I don't think you take it down with just 2 barrels a lot.


mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

not really. over a decent sample size at small/midstakes i believe it is really an accurate gauge of someone's skills.

someone with a cold rating almost always ends up being loose/passive in some way


TheLastNail
Joined: 30.05.2008

the F cbet with close to 0% eq is rly dubious. Once you decide to go ahead with your bluff, the 4card flush is obv gr8 for u so u should bomb it.


mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Don't you think most villians are check/folding in this spot? I had no reason to believe that he had a well-balanced check/calling range