Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]CO$78.85:///////;BU$52.00:///////;SB$88.30:///////;BB$50.75:///////;MP2 (Hero)$68.90:///////;MP3$17.50:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A:s, A:c.
Hero raises to $1.50, MP3 folds, CO raises to $5.25, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.75.
Flop: ($11.25) 8:d, 3:s, J:h (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50.
Turn: ($26.25) 4:c (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $14.50, Hero calls $14.50.
River: ($55.25) 6:c (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $51.60, Hero calls $41.65.
Villain's Stats:
He doesn't seem to polarize his 3bets, when looking at stats.
Exactly 3% range contains JJ+, AKs, AKo. Although, I think, JJ is a call.
I think, that this is a typical check/call spot because:
1. Peflop. Call is better, because he could fold some occasional/rare bluffs,
but at the same time I don't really care about any flop.
Q: What kind of flops would you lead and what kind of flops would you ck/raise?
I think, I would ck/raise some wet flops.
Also, I don't see any flop which is wort leading.
2. Flop, Turn, River: What worse hands do call my raise?
Sometimes KK or QQ, but that's it.
And only somewhat terrible cards on the T would be K or Q,
but at the same time K pairs his AK, so it's cool.
If there comes T:K and R:Q, then I have 83% equity.
Well, I'm still calling down.
Different T and R.
Turn: K, River: Q.
Exactly 3% range contains also JJ+, AKs, AKo,
but against that I'm about 40% on the River (if T:K and R:Q).
Against QQ+, AK it is exactly 50% equity.
Turn: T, River: Q.
Also, if T:T and R:Q, I'm doing good even, when he catches straight on the River.
JJ+, AKo, Aks: then I'm about 83% on the River.
Against QQ+, AK it is exactly 84% equity.
Well, now what if I have KK?
1. Real hand scenario - I would play the same way.
2. Turn: K, River: Q.
Against QQ+, AK or JJ+, AK I'm 100% obviously, because of top set,
but I guess we still call down.
3. Turn: T, River: Q.
- Against QQ+, AK it is - 57% on the River, but against JJ+, AK it's 62%.
Q: And QQ?
- Now I feel like 4betting pre-flop. Any other suggestions?
Maybe play the same way?