I am (almost) embarrassed to post this hand, since by the numbers, I played it massively wrong.
However, the villain had sat down 27 hands earlier. In that time he was 44/11/0 with AF of 2.5 and and AFq of 52.
On the pots he entered, he either folded on any post flop bet, or called, even pot-sized raises.
Following that, he would bet huge amounts on scare cards -- 3rd to a suit, board paired, A on the turn or river. He bet turn 33% and river 80%, but FOLDED on the river on any resistance.
WTSD = 0.
So, I got curious. Just what does this guy have.
So this happens:
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
Known players:
[tg]MP2$2.41:///////;MP3$2.36:///////;CO$2.40:///////;BU$1.97:///////;SB$1.31:///////;BB$2.19:///////;MP1 (Hero)$3.17:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:h, Q:c.
Hero raises to $0.08, 2 folds, CO calls $0.08, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.
Flop: ($0.19) 9:c, T:s, 4:c (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.16, Hero calls $0.16.
Turn: ($0.51) 4:s (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.51, Hero calls $0.51.
River: ($1.53) 3:s (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.53, Hero raises to $2.42(All-In), CO folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $3.06.
By the numbers I should never have called, but I could lose here and still be with almost half my buy-in, and like I say, I got overly curious.
Now what is even curiouser is: Why would anyone fold on the river with only .12 left in their stack?
On examination of the HH file, he actually STOOD UP before the fold. It was not a disconnect. Full Tilt records those as disconnect, not "stood up".
So the question is: Did I get really lucky, or was he just too embarrassed to show his cards.
Is this behaviour common -- his, not mine :)? I've had people shove on the river before, and I've always folded, or had the stone-cold nuts and called.
--VS