Had my 2nd Session with Manu today, and as Per usual it really helped show a lot of my problems. For one I am not really value raising enough. I also get scared and shut down on the scarey boards. Manu called it: "Monsters under the bed syndrome." I think it is true, so when I played my session today my focus was to not worry about that. And for the most part it worked out rather well. I think there was one 4 to a straight hand where checked behind with trips, and right away I realized that was a mistake. Bad chow! I had noticed some other things about when I play as well. I really notcied in 3 bet pots with a had like AQ, or AK when I wiff the board it gets sort of discouraged. I think this is being results orientated. At this point I kind of just give up on the board. Here is an example:
Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
MP: $7.42 (148.4 bb)
CO: $12.07 (241.4 bb)
BTN: $3.77 (75.4 bb)
SB: $6.34 (126.8 bb)
BB: $7.27 (145.4 bb)
Hero (UTG): $5.60 (112 bb)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q
A
Hero raises to $0.15, 4 folds, BB raises to $0.45, Hero calls $0.30
Flop: ($0.92) 5
J
6
(2 players)
BB bets $0.65, Hero folds
I called because I had position with a suited AQ, and villian had a higher 3bet.
So Villian is a TAG who over my 100 hand sample cbets 80% of the time. While in these spots, I think the best play is just to fold it here, I get pretty discouraged. While I am going to post this in the hand forums about calling this 3bet in position, I really find that it is stuff like this that can hurt my mindset when a lot of this happens. Mainly because I am not sure if that was the right call, and how to proceed. I mean I can do some analysis on it, but I think it is similar to what I have done below, execpt I have 12% equity for turn, 24% for river, and I really am doubting those 6 outs are clean, as Ax makes up a lot of his range.
Another thing I get pretty unsure about is with draws. Here I am playing a Very aggressive tag, and flop an OESD:
Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
MP: $1.92 (38.4 bb)
CO: $5.61 (112.2 bb)
Hero (BTN): $5 (100 bb)
SB: $5 (100 bb)
BB: $17.70 (354 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with T
Q
MP calls $0.05, CO calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.20, SB folds, BB calls $0.15, MP folds, CO calls $0.15
Flop: ($0.67) J
K
6
(3 players)
BB bets $0.48, CO folds, Hero calls $0.48
Turn: ($1.63) 2
(2 players)
BB bets $1.17, Hero folds
Now here I hit the OESD so I have 8 outs, and Villian bets 0.48/0.67 = 71% pot, but given he is pretty aggressive, something like a 17 AF over 155 hands. I felt like I had the implied odds to call. When the turn hits, he bets 71% again, and I give it up, even though I am pretty sure he was hitting the 70% and it feels like he is doing this with a king ish so KT KJ or 66 etc. So I had gotten unsure of what he would do if I did hit on the river, and I talked myself out of it. So given he is aggressive, and a reg I am willing to say he would bet fold river.
Now he was betting 70% each time, and I think on river if he would have bet I could have gotten a half-pot bet out of him. So doing some math. If he is going to go bet/fold bet/fold bet/fold
So on the turn we are investing 48c, and if he is indeed going bet bet bet with his TPK or set, we would be investing 48c to win 1.63 + 2/3 bet on the turn, and 0.5 pot on river so
48c/(1.63 + 1.17 +0.5(1.63+2*1.17) = .48/3.97 which is like 11% equity. Now the pot would have been big enough that I think may have even able to raise him and just get the rest of it in, but not sure. So now that I go through that I think I am a little happier with call flop fold turn, because on turn we are investing 1.17/((1.17+1.63+1.17)+2) = 20%
which we didn't have.
So hopefully that analysis is correct, if there are errors please let me know. Enough though I am in Geophysics I make simple math errors ALL the time. I think i re-wrote that 2 or 3 times.
This is going to be a bit of the new style of this blog, after listening to Manu I kind of want to pull away from the posting results a lot. I will probably post monthly results if I am super proud or something, but otherwise I just want to keep it on the mental game, how I am feeling etc.
Also been trying to do some bluffs when I am feeling like their weeks I had a 3bet hand where the player was pretty ABC, and he bet something like 1/3 pot, so I raised him and he called, but checked, I just felt like he was weak here, and I really didn't see much deception from him, so I fired a large turn bet and scooped the pot for 20BB, felt pretty good about that. I don't want to go over aggro though because I have been that guy in the past and it's -EV. Talked a little bit about barreling and bluff-raising with Manu, so that is something I find interesting. I think I have a better idea of how to do it though. Will have to ask him about it later.
Even just after writing the analysis I feel like I have learned a few things about my play, so I am going to keep doing stuff like this, and try to think about implied odds with player type in mind.
I know I had talked about being discouraged and stuff, but I do feel like I am playing better overall. At least more confident in a lot of my game.
That is about all I have to say for now.