Originally posted by BOBOsvk
i think as you play as high as 36$ sngs that AK facing A2 is not 100% win for AK !!!edit: if you are the majority of the time ahead you are doing something wrong, bro
I dont get it why its bad to be ahead most of the time , isnt that the purpose ? to do +ev pushes?.
Anyway the "heater" continues (not)
omg 30 games ♦, just play
- can you type here the distribution of your place finishes ?
- i dont say it's bad to be ahead, the ration ahead:behind should not be (9:1)
Can you post your all time graph? i have a feeling this is just reversion to the mean.
I really dont wanna start again the same conversation about the ev line , you know i am running above ev for the last 6k sngs . Whats that mean? That for the next 6k sngs i have to run below to it ? You know ev line means nothing to me i am just whining for the downswing or actually the b/e mode i ve entered for the whole month at the moment.Cant i whine in my blog when i feel to ?
As far as the distribution
24$ 1st 16.9% 2st 9.9% 3rd 12.8% 4th 14% itm : 39.5%
36% 1st 8.5% 2st 13.8% 3rd 15.1% 4th 14.8% itm : 38.4%
And that prooves what i am talking about cant win in key spots , The big difference between 1st -3rd at 36$ is why i feel i am running unlucky (and loosing money ) since most of the times i am ahead and loose.Sample is getting bigger from the first time i whined for that month but still is small , i am just frustrated because i decided this month to grind with passion and put a lot of volume and in the end i am facing that bad situation.
sorry dude, was just trying to make you feel better. everyone runs good and runs bad, it all evens out in the long run. you are a winning player obviously, just keep grinding.
Originally posted by Schris7
That for the next 6k sngs i have to run below to it ?
1.
And this is how it goes. You can accept it or quit. If you think about it as you do you should deffnitely quit because things will get worse. (i know it from my own experience, you can run superhot for 3k games, and lose 100 bis in next 2k games).
2.
I am opposite to your statement : "You know ev line means nothing to me".
EV line means so much because it shows if you play good in general or not.
3. check this out
(roi 9% , buy ins 20+2)
From what i see in your thread i can say, that u are maybe not even achieving 5% long term ROI. Which means, the swings are bigeer than if you had a 10% longterm ROI.
3. I am rly curious about your lifetime graph. (I will post mine in my blog by the end of month so you can see how can this "variance" or "bad play" influence your results
4. And i almost forgot, i dont play 9 handed but from your ITM finishes i can say, that you have A HIGH % ITM -> lot of 3rds -> few blinds when down to 3 ppl => not a big opportunity to win
5, maybe get a coach
@bobosvk
As i said i am not gonna start a discussion again about the ev line , if u want to start that discusion go to the 2p2 forum.Also i dont know how u got that roi about me . Let me enlight u a bit.
According to my hem stats so far ( i have some sngs missing )
9man
6.5$ 11.2%roi
12$ 9.4%roi
24$ 11.2%roi
36$ -2.5%roi
18-45man
6.5$ 26.4%roi
11$ 17.5%roi
12$ 27.8%roi
Mtts
avg bi : 11.5$ 54.6%roi
About my distribution in all limits except 36s i have on avg 1st 14% 2st 12% 3rd 12%
The big difference i have on my 36s between 1-4 places compare to the other limits is the reason of the "red ev line ".The only part i can keep from your post is the coach thing.I will think about it after getting a better sample for the 36s.
wtf you mean losing motivation? my friend...party hard, live hard, grind harder ♠_thumbsup:
Originally posted by Arnolde89
wtf you mean losing motivation? my friend...party hard, live hard, grind harder ♠_thumbsup:
I am trying but when i have everyone telling me that so far i was running hot and was just lucky for the like 4k-5k sngs and now its time for variance to claim the losses i loose even more my motivation to grind ..
Originally posted by Schris7
Originally posted by Arnolde89
wtf you mean losing motivation? my friend...party hard, live hard, grind harder ♠_thumbsup:I am trying but when i have everyone telling me that so far i was running hot and was just lucky for the like 4k-5k sngs and now its time for variance to claim the losses i loose even more my motivation to grind ..
Wimp!!
This should make you want to grind even harder to prove them all wrong!!
I have been following this blog since day 1.
You are doing a fine job.
You just tend to say things along the lines of your game being fine but results sucking.
Nobody has a fine game. Everyone needs to constantly practice and tweak.
Not just because they fall into bad habits that they may not see comming and blame the downswing
on variance instead of their play but sometimes... What is a solid money making play today can
turn into a -EV spewtard play tommorow.
Just take the criticism with a grain of salt. They are trying to encourage you and help not
piss you off and make you feel like you are being attacked.
Good luck your going to make it as long as you keep motivated.
Originally posted by Schris7
Originally posted by Arnolde89
wtf you mean losing motivation? my friend...party hard, live hard, grind harder ♠_thumbsup:I am trying but when i have everyone telling me that so far i was running hot and was just lucky for the like 4k-5k sngs and now its time for variance to claim the losses i loose even more my motivation to grind ..
u did not get the point, what we are trying to say that you won more than u should have and now it's the time to lose some of those hands when you are ahead
that just happens but you seem to not accept it and improve and that i find sad about you, we are trying to help you but you seem to refuse it
Bobosvk really stop saying things out of your mind . I never said i am playing perfect and i never said i like my play and i wont improve , of course i need to improve cause i should be very arrogant to believe that these stats are one of a good player , i just cant take the fact with the ev i never did from the beginning and i think i will never do .
When i say i feel confidence of my play is completly different that i am playing good .It means according to my reviews i make in general good moves and i am not a loosing player.Not being a loosing player compare to be a good player for me its two separate things and in the end when u see someone that has his motivation and confidence crushed at least in my country you try to say positive things to cheer him up and not making him feel worse .
8979687 you are right in most of what u wrote , maybe since i am not a native english speaker i dont translate of what i think as it should be and seems that with my words most of you get confused and believe that i think highly of myself and my play.I can assure you that i am very insecure in general not only poker wise and never get too excited.
Anyway thanks all for your comments , i know you mean no harm to your words ,its just a hard period for me and maybe i overreact so i apologize for that .
everyone goes through this period. we are with you man ♠_thumbsup:
you should know that ♠_cool:
Another loosing session.It seems that month just dont like me .
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 24 Tournament, 200/400 Blinds (4 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (Button) (t4200)
SB (t1465)
BB (t3585)
UTG (t4250)
Hero's M: 7.00
Preflop: Hero is Button with A
, A
UTG bets t4250 (All-In), Hero calls t4200 (All-In), 2 folds
Flop: (t9000) 8
, Q, 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Turn: (t9000) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: (t9000) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: t9000
Results:
Hero had A, A (two pair, Aces and fives).
UTG had J, 7 (flush, Queen high).
Outcome: UTG won t9000
After that hand i decided to stop to keep my sanity.I think i ll play until monday and then i ll take a week off cause i am sick with the situation so far.
Originally posted by lessthanthreee
you must be getting close to 50BIs < EV right?
Ye i am following you step by step ..
It is time for me to go for a break . Until the end of the month i will just have 1 more session because i need 1 day to achieve the iron man month and it would be a shame not to achieve it after a hard month.For the time being i will just chill out , probably do some more detailed review of my games and take more notes on the regulars.On sunday i will have a review and thoughts about that month.I ve expected more ... but i think i got a little stronger from all these.
I've been goin thru a bad period too recently so you're not alone buddy. Good idea with the break and taking time to unwind + improve.
Originally posted by bigdwong
I've been goin thru a bad period too recently so you're not alone buddy. Good idea with the break and taking time to unwind + improve.
Its always nice to see a new reader (hope so 
).I believe a break was needed not only cause of the bad results (allthough i am up for the month)but from the pressure i was feeling playing every day.I gather my powers now to have a same volume-wise month but with much better results .
HU Danny Blog