(Sharkschool) JJ touche set sur board tirage

€0.25/€0.50 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 Players

Vilain Fish : 53/26/1/30
75 mains pas de read particulier

Stacks:
UTG (€52.25) 105bb
UTG+1 (€14.62) 29bb
Hero (CO) (€76.34) 153bb
BTN (€96.08) 192bb
SB (€85.55) 171bb
BB (€56.14) 112bb

Pre-Flop: (€0.75, 6 players) Hero is CO J♠ J♥
2 folds, Hero raises to €1.50, 2 folds, BB calls €1

Flop: 8♣ 10:heart: J♦ (€3.25, 2 players)
BB bets €1.50, Hero raises to €5, BB calls €3.50

Turn: K♠ (€13.25, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets €8, BB calls €8

River: 9♥ (€29.25, 2 players)
BB bets €13.50, Hero ?

PF : Open standard il call 67% au BB
F: il donk 42% du temps sur 12 occ, quand il call mon raise je le mets sur :
QQ, 99, TdTs, TdTc, TsTc, 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, Q9s, 97s, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, QdTd, QsTs, QcTc, JcTc, Jc9c, Td9d, Ts9s, Tc9c, Td8d, Ts8s, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9s8s, Q9o, 97o, AdJc, AhJc, AsJc, KdJc, KhJc, KsJc, QdJc, QhJc, QsJc, QdTs, QdTc, QhTd, QhTs, QhTc, QsTd, QsTc, QcTd, QcTs, JcTd, JcTs, Jc9d, Jc9h, Jc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Td9c, Ts9d, Ts9h, Ts9c, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td8h, Td8s, Ts8d, Ts8h, Tc8d, Tc8h, Tc8s, 9d8h, 9d8s, 9h8d, 9h8s, 9s8d, 9s8h, 9c8d, 9c8h, 9c8s

Turn: ch call encore je ne pense pas qu'un str8 joue comme ça
QQ, TdTs, TdTc, TsTc, 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, KQs, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, KdTd, KsTs, KcTc, QdTd, QsTs, QcTc, JcTc, Jc9c, Td9d, Ts9s, Tc9c, Td8d, Ts8s, KQo, AdJc, AhJc, AsJc, KdJc, KhJc, KsJc, KdTs, KdTc, KhTd, KhTs, KhTc, KsTd, KsTc, KcTd, KcTs, QdJc, QhJc, QsJc, QdTs, QdTc, QhTd, QhTs, QhTc, QsTd, QsTc, QcTd, QcTs, JcTd, JcTs, Jc9d, Jc9h, Jc9s, Jc8d, Jc8h, Jc8s, Td9h, Td9s, Td9c, Ts9d, Ts9h, Ts9c, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td8h, Td8s, Ts8d, Ts8h, Tc8d, Tc8h, Tc8s

River: il donk je lui donne cette range
QQ, KdQd, KhQh, KcQc, KcJc, QcJc, QdTd, QsTs, QcTc, Jc9c, Td9d, Ts9s, Tc9c, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs, KdJc, KhJc, QdJc, QhJc, QsJc, QdTs, QdTc, QhTd, QhTs, QhTc, QsTd, QsTc, QcTd, QcTs, Jc9d, Jc9s, Td9s, Td9c, Ts9d, Ts9c, Tc9d, Tc9s

J'ai besoin de 24% d'équity, j'en trouve :

Tableau : J♦T♥8♣ K♠ 9♥
       Equity  Victoire  Égalité
MP2    69.44%    69.44%    0.00% { QQ-JJ, KJs+, QTs+, J9s, T9s, KJo+, QTo+, J9o, T9o }
MP3    30.56%    30.56%    0.00% { JhJs }

Dur d'avoir une range correct contre ce type d'adversaire, les miennes sont peut être trop optimiste ?