Updated on 21 Feb 26 by
Peter Fryers
Poker Expert

Are we safe at this Christmas party?

Our snowmen found some company on the Flop. But does it mean they are safe to celebrate and do what they please?

Christmas spirit is all around us, even in poker! This time we're at NL50 hoping for a huge shower of presents. But poker is still poker and you always need to stay on your guard. Our Hero is holding two snowmen and opens the game and gets two call from late positions.

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Our snowmen perfectly fit this Flop. Too perfectly even. So we try to keep the other Villain in the pot by simply calling Big Blind's donkbet. Now we are sure that both of them have something to pay us with, but...

The Queen on the Turn doesn't look that scary because there was no 3-bet on the Preflop from any of our opponents. Then it all happens so fast; we raise the Big Blind's c-bet and then we get two all-ins on the spot!

Well, as you've already guessed, it's time for you to show these three snowmen a way out of this predicament. This time we added more options to our usual pole to make things Christmasy.

Considering how the hand was actually played, we can either fold or go with the flow. It all depends on how you perceive the opponents' ranges and your equity, including probabilities for your re-draw.

Then we could rewind a bit to the original Turn c-bet. Should we continue from this point passively to play it safe and watch the action, ideally getting to the River decision cheaply? And, finally, we could rewind to the Flop and see if it would be possible to steal some value by raising that donkbet right away?

As always, let us know in the comments which line you'd actually prefer and merry Poker Christmas to you all! May your snowmen always stay frosty!

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Previous poll's results

Hand of the Week

Last time we were trying to catch some value on a tricky board with the help of over 400 value hunters. There were only two options and most of you chose to stick to the Hero's play and simply call a small bet on the River while skipping the Turn bet. This play is correct in itself but we could have played the hand a bit better on the Turn.

Turns out, there was still value to be had. We want to extract value from a loose-passive opponent's wide range, and our hand is good enough to bet at least two streets. It's relatively easy because if the Villain starts raising our bets at any point, we'll know we're behind. Then we can make a good fold knowing that we did all we could. We could also play bet/fold on the River if the fifth community card would look blank.

In reality our Hero check/called a big River bet only to see that the last card had improved the Villain's JT hand.

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