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[Closed] NL 100 AK another failed river bluff

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No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($100)
Hero (UTG) ($107.55)
MP ($100)
CO ($219.15)
Button ($115.50)
SB ($100.20)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A
Hero bets $3.50, 1 fold, CO calls $3.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($8.50) 2, 8, Q (2 players)
Hero bets $5, CO calls $5

Turn: ($18.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($18.50) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $12, Hero raises $36, CO calls $24

Total pot: $90.50

villan is 19/15/7.4, fold to cbet 63%, aggr. factor 2 with 3.5 on river. WTS 26.
I put him on some midpairs, weak queens and thats mostly it.
I'm trying to represent flush on river.
Maybe I should just raise bigger?


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I think you should just c/f turn and c/f river.

You'd bet the FD on the turn almost always, so you can not represent a flush, ever.
Since 8x has him beat I also highly doubt he's betting 99 and JJ for thin value (mayyybe he bets JJ to get value from a T, but imo there are too many Qx in our range so he won't bet JJ).
He bets 8x and pure floats on the turn usually, so after his riverbet he has Qx or TT nearly 100% of the time.

So he has a strong ahdn and you cannot show up with any made hand here - you have to c/f, nothing we can do about his bet.
But that's ok, after all he has a very strong range and we have a very weak one, in such a scenario you can obv never do anything but c/f.


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