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[Closed] NL100 SH - 76o - 2 pair mwp

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($101)
Hero ($122)
UTG ($116)
CO ($132)
BTN ($43.75)

Dealt to Hero 7♣ 6♦

UTG raises to $3.50, CO calls $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, fold, Hero calls $2.50

FLOP ($14.50) 6♥ 4♣ 7♥

Hero bets $10, UTG calls $10, CO calls $10, BTN folds

TURN ($44.50) 6♥ 4♣ 7♥ K♦

Hero bets $32, UTG raises to $102 (AI), CO folds, Hero calls $70.85

RIVER ($250) 6♥ 4♣ 7♥ K♦ 9♦

villain is 24/18/3 1.9k
is it reasonable for us to bet/call turn? On the flop I think there are only 5 combinations ahead of us and on the turn only 8 (assuming he never has hands like K7 etc). Have I got that right?
thanks


6 replies
VzLOM
Joined: 23.12.2007

I think its ok while he can have smth like A :heart:K or even delayed AA here though i see KK here all the time (
What is his AFQ turn?


Tim64 Topic starter
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd also bet/call. As you say there's almost nothing in his range that beats us.
If he was scared of a straight with a set on the flop he might also just call again on the turn.
It feels like he's basically never bluffing here, but he can't have a straight and we block some setcombos so if he only has 1 or 2 semibluffs in his range like the aforementioned NFD it will already be +EV to get it in.


Tim64 Topic starter
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Thanks for your advice. He had J :heart:K :heart: here.
What do you think of his play? it seems to me that I am never bluffing here therefore his top pair is unlikely to be good.

On the other hand I could have something like TT/JJ which I did not want to SQz preflop- but then would I bet so strong again on the turn?

So overall I don't think he can expect me to fold very much when he shoves the turn. On the other hand I suppose his hand is too strong now to just fold. Was his play okay, do you think? Or should he have just called on the turn?


VzLOM
Joined: 23.12.2007

Its just bad playing of strong hand with draw. I played the same like year ago. The thinking is like "wow i have great draw plus i've got tp, now i beat alotofanother draws and have great equity and need to get it in!"
Btw he could really be ahead of your range wich could include fd, 56, 55 , 89 so i cant blame his game too much.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by VzLOM
Its just bad playing of strong hand with draw.

+1

I played the same like year ago. The thinking is like "wow i have great draw plus i've got tp, now i beat alotofanother draws and have great equity and need to get it in!"
Btw he could really be ahead of your range wich could include fd, 56, 55 , 89 so i cant blame his game too much.
Usually when you have a pair+FD it is a very strong hand because you can get it in vs a lot of other FDs and be in great shape, but when the opponents range mostly consists of 2pair+ you're still an underdog and you don't have foldequity.

So I also think he should just call your bet, he doesn't have foldequity but he has the odds to call.

Board: 7h 6h 4c Ks
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.818% 66.82% 00.00% 588 0.00 { 77-66, 44, Th9h, 9h8h, 76s, 76o }
Hand 1: 33.182% 33.18% 00.00% 292 0.00 { KhJh }

Maybe our range is even stronger, if we don't have 76o in our range he could argue for folding the turn, but imo that's too weak.


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