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NL 100 1010 river decision

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PickoCro
Joined: 14.04.2009

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

Known players:
[tg]SB$110.75:///////;BB$115.68:///////;UTG1$100.00:///////;UTG2$66.11:///////;MP1$408.63:///////;MP2 (Hero)$187.01:///////;MP3$100.00:///////;CO$69.33:///////;BU$156.05:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with T:d, T:h.
3 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, 2 folds, BU raises to $9.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $6.50.

Flop: ($20.5) Q:h, T:s, 5:d (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets $11.00, Hero raises to $30.00, BU calls $19.00.

Turn: ($80.5) J:h (2 players)
Hero bets $39.00, BU calls $39.00.

River: ($158.5) 7:d (2 players)
Hero raises to $108.51, BU calls $77.55.

Final Pot: $344.56.

Results follow:

Hero shows three of a kind, tens(Td Th).
BU shows a straight, ace high(Ks Ah).

Hero wins with three of a kind, tens(Td Th).
BU wins with a straight, ace high(Ks Ah).

This guy i m playing against is a reg with which i had a decent amount of history... He s playing 16 13 over 3800 hands and despite being semi-tight he s kind of tricky he 3bets and 4bets light a lot pre (8%, 11% and 12% from lp and blinds) which isn t that much but compared to other regs it s a lot... Also he tends to 3bet and 4bet my raises more often than others cause i m kind of loose so when he 3 bets pre i just call cause i don t want to 4bet and then get into a spot when he showes and i don t know what to do...

Flop: I flop the 2nd nuts (and nuts vs his range) so i check raise thinking if he has something like aq, kk or aa he s not going anywhere and if he has something like kj, aj, some random q9, ak i don t want him to hit a straight...

Turn: I really hate the turn cause it completes some straights, and also gives jj a set... I bet again he calls again so now i m a bit worried but not too much as there is still a bunch of worse hands he could call me with...

River: The river is a blank and i push... I really don t know what to do in this spot... It s such a similar situation to the hand i posted earlier, i don t think there s a lot of hands he can call me with that i have beat, especially considering the fact that we re both deep here, but i fell like i can t check fold here, i can t check call (with what is he going to bluff here with?)... I dont want to check and let him check aq, aa, kk or even qj behind but i m not sure will he call with those hands (except qj). Also i have history in my favour cause i tried to bluff him in a few 3bet pots and he picked me off... I beat aq, aa, kk, qj and loose to ak, qq, jj (i really thought ak was unlikely) so this should be a good play, right?

So am i being result oriented? Is it just a cooler? Should i have played any part of the hand differently? Is he really calling aq, aa, kk here? Any help regarding any part of the hand is apreciated...


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2 replies
jmackenzie
Joined: 04.06.2008

So am i overthinking myself, being result oriented or is it just a cooler?

yh deffo overthinking nh


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Still you're not overthinking at all, what you wrote down are some perfectly normal considerations every reg should ask himself before making a decision here.

However, I think you played the hand perfectly fine.
Pre:
is ok given you're deep.

Flop:
The c/r is definitely the best play to be able to stack AQ and KK+, perhaps we even get a call from AK here because he thinks we're bluffing a lot (we'd probably not checkraise AQ and at the same time 4bet KK+ pre, so there aren't many strong hands in our range).

Turn:
Yes, JJ and AK got there.
But:

Board: 5♦Q♥T♠ J♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    53.24%  53.24%   0.00% { TT }
MP3    46.76%  46.76%   0.00% { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }

Vs this range we're still doing very well and there are already 80BB in the pot, so we're definintely getting it in.

River:
The same applies here.
You could argue for a c/f if you think he's always folding KK+ and AQ because we can't bet for value vs them and he's not betting them himself if we check.
But in a 3bet-pot situation I'd usually go for the shove because people call too much, even 150BB deep.

=> Nh!


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