What is the November Nine ICM Breakdown?
In today's Daily Rewind we conduct an ICM analysis of the Main Event and report on a change of policy at PokerStars.
Main Event ICM breakdown
It may be another three months until this year's WSOP Main Event comes to a conclusion, but that hasn't stopped one player running through some important stats.
In an effort to see just how much this year's $10 million guarantee has impacted on the payout structure, 'RedOak' has performed an ICM calculation for the November Nine.
Taking each player's stack size and the nine payout amounts into account, 'RedOak' concluded that the "two chip leaders would have to finish 1st or 2nd to do better than ICM" and this is something they will do "less than 50%" of the time.
Breaking it down further, the calculations show that chip leader Jorryt van Hoof would bank $4,334,801 and the shortest stack, Bruno Politano, $2,285,194 if a nine-way chop was agreed.
Although a deal is unlikely to happen before play resumes, it's interesting to see how the payouts could look if the prize money was distributed more evenly.
| Player | Stack | Payouts | ICM Result |
| Jorryt van Hoof | 38,375,000 | $10,000,000 | $4,334,801 |
| Felix Stephensen | 32,775,000 | $5,145,968 | $3,987,521 |
| Mark Newhouse | 26,000,000 | $3,806,402 | $3,515,900 |
| Andoni Larrabe | 22,550,000 | $2,848,833 | $3,248,720 |
| Dan Sindelar | 21,200,000 | $2,143,174 | $3,138,263 |
| William Pappaconstantinou | 17,500,000 | $1,622,080 | $2,815,883 |
| William Tonking | 15,050,000 | $1,235,862 | $2,584,271 |
| Martin Jacobson | 14,900,000 | $947,077 | $2,569,563 |
| Bruno Politano | 12,125,000 | $730,725 | $2,285,194 |
No more satellite cash
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| Play for your place |
PokerStars has just changed its FPP satellite policy, much to the dissatisfaction of some players.
The new system, which came into force on July 14th, states that players who win entry to an online MTT using FPPs will not be able to unregister and claim the cash alternative.
The previous system allowed players to unregister from the event and bank the Tournament Dollars; however, under the new rules, players will now have to play the MTT they gained entry to.
A number of grinders have voiced their dissatisfaction with the move, but others have reluctantly sided with PokerStars, reasoning that the system was being abused by cash game regs looking for extra FPP value.
Doyle fishing for fish
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| Doyle is unimpressed |
It's usually the case that at least one pro takes a swipe at the Main Event finalists and this year Doyle Brunson seems to be uninspired by the November Nine line-up.
Writing on his Facebook page recently, Doyle said:
"Of the last 16 players left in the WSOP main event, I don't recognise one name.‪#timeshavereallychanged"
Although not directly criticising anyone, his comment seems to echo the sentiments of many older players who are continually surprised by the pace at which poker is changing.
Doyle then went on to try and lure some of the newly bankrolled players into his world by writing:
"I wonder if any of the final table November Nine will ever sit in a cash game with top pros?‪#doubtitverymuch‬"
Question of the Day
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After an extended break courtesy of the WSOP, our regular high stakes round-up is back with a look at the biggest winners in June.
Despite the number of games being fewer than usual, Viktor 'Isildur1' Blom managed to finish on top with a $582,793 profit. Coming over the course of 39,049 hands, Blom's haul was enough to put him above Mikael 'punting-peddler' Thuritz and Ilari Sahamies.
At the other end of the spectrum, 'Sanlker' finished as June's biggest loser with a deficit of $713,574. Taking just 4,359 hands to lose that amount, the German pro now has an annual deficit of -$1,760,939.
Daily Signoff
For today's Daily Signoff we bring you a rundown of Bertrand 'ElkY' Grospellier's top five moments.
Yesterday's Daily Rewind: Paul Phua arrested for illegal gambling ring in Vegas
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